Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027?
One-OffYZRegülasyonUS Politics3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 92.3%
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8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Eyl 26 09:19 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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KalshiKurallar
OpenAI has said its upcoming Astra model reaches its “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold.
- This market asks whether the U.S. government will subsequently restrict Astra, including after its release, similar to its restrictions on Anthropic’s Fable.
- The market resolves:
- YES if the U.S. government materially restricts Astra’s availability or use before January 1, 2027.
- NO if Astra is released and no such restriction occurs.
- Government criticism or investigations without an actual restriction do not count.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 92% fiyatlıyor.
- Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: OpenAI has said its upcoming Astra model reaches its “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold.