Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Yes (97.2%)
Sonuçlandı: 10 Eki 2026 19:49
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
11 Eki 2026 11:31 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
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KalshiWill BMW release a Fully Electric M3 before 2028?
KalshiInternational treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich arrives first: a quantum computer that can break RSA-2048, or an autonomous AI math researcher?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if OpenAI officially releases a product, service, or feature that is classified as a fully autonomous AI agent before July 1, 2027.
- For the purposes of this market, an autonomous AI agent is defined as an AI system capable of executing multi-step tasks, navigating web browsers, or interacting with software interfaces to achieve user-defined goals with a high degree of independence (i.e., without requiring continuous human-in-the-loop prompts for every step).
- Note on existing products: OpenAI has already released several products with autonomous agentic capabilities, including:
- Operator (released January 2025)
- ChatGPT Agent (released July 2025)
