Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiDec 31st 2028 or earlier? 33%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
30
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Kas 25 14:39 UTC1 Oca 29 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Temu go out of business in the EU before 2028?
Manifold MarketsThe Business Benefits of Mobile Entertainment Attractions
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI go public in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX acquire any major U.S. telecom business before 2028?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
On a recent episode of the Bg2 Pod, Sam Altman (CEO of OpenAI) was aaked about how OpenAI can have a reported $13ish billion usd in revenue and yet have over $1 trillion in spending commitments over the next years.
- Sam had a lot to say, but as part of his response said, "There are not many times I want to be a public company, but one of the rare times that it's appealing is when those people are writing these ridiculous, 'OpenAI is about to go out of business,'....I would love to tell them they could just short the stock, and I would love to see them get burned on that."
- article about this here: https://www.businessinsider.com/sam-altman-defends-openai-trillion-spending-2025-11
- Youtube video of podcast here: https://youtu.be/Gnl833wXRz0?si=hYqgzVM7qjlzjS-n (see ~12:00 mark for the question)
- This is a modest attempt to operationalize that, and I highly encourage any OpenAI bulls and bears to buy YES and NO respectively in this market.
- Each question will resolve YES if the below happens on or before the question's indicated date, and if either of the following occurs:
Açık piyasalar
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺131 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4 Mn
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,4 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.1pt77.5%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes-1.0pt8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺150,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺966,2 B
- Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will OpenAI 'Go Out of Business'... için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Dec 31st 2028 or earlier? için 33% fiyatlıyor.
- Will OpenAI 'Go Out of Business'... ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will OpenAI 'Go Out of Business'... için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2029.
- Will OpenAI 'Go Out of Business'... nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: On a recent episode of the Bg2 Pod, Sam Altman (CEO of OpenAI) was aaked about how OpenAI can have a reported $13ish billion usd in revenue and yet have over $1 trillion in spending commitments over the next years.