Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 60.6%
Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Mar 25 03:13 UTC31 Ara 44 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
KalshiWill Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill commercial nuclear fusion exist in April of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution Criteria
- “Yes” Resolution: The market resolves to Yes if before January 1st 2045, at least one nuclear fusion facility meets these requirements:
- The facility must demonstrate a net energy gain, producing more electrical energy than the total energy required to sustain and operate the reactor
- Is connected to a power grid (so that homes, businesses, or other customers use this electricity).
- Maintains a net electrical output of at least 1 megawatt to the grid.
- Operates under the above conditions for a sustained period of at least 30 consecutive days.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2045? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 61% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2045? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2045? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2044.
- Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2045? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution Criteria