Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 53.7%
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Şub 25 03:54 UTC30 Kas 26 10:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market would predict whether the National Party-led coalition government in New Zealand (formed after the 2023 election with ACT and New Zealand First) will lose power at the next general election, expected in late 2026.
- Market Resolution Criteria
- YES: The National Party and its coalition partners lose their parliamentary majority in the next general election, and a different party/coalition forms government.
- NO: The National Party and at least some of its coalition partners retain power after the next general election.
- Key Forecasting Factors
- Government Performance
