Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 98.6%
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111
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
4 Haz 26 05:12 UTC3 Haz 27 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsDid OpenAI just solve navier stokes??
Manifold MarketsNavier-Stokes Drama Prop Bets
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiKurallar
A year from now (market creation date)
- Update 2026-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolves YES if mathematicians widely agree the proof is probably valid by the deadline.
- Resolves NO if mathematicians are widely uncertain, skeptical, or do not consider it solved.
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 203076%
- Before 2029+17.3pt49%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺11 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 2027+0.2pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺291,7 B
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+65.0pt99%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHow many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
- 0-19.0pt47.6%
- 1+24.5pt40.8%
- 3+6.0pt6.8%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Navier-Stokes be considered solved on June 3th 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Navier-Stokes be considered solved on June 3th 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Navier-Stokes be considered solved on June 3th 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Haziran 2027.
- Will Navier-Stokes be considered solved on June 3th 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: A year from now (market creation date)