Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 90.3%
Tahminciler
32
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Eyl 25 22:39 UTC1 Oca 28 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty?
Manifold MarketsWhat's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
Manifold MarketsAnother politically motivated* assassination of a notable* English-speaking influencer within a year of Charlie Kirk's?
Manifold MarketsLeopold Aschenbrenner charged by which date?
PolymarketWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiMichael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves YES if criminal charges are brought against more than one person for the assassination of Charlie Kirk, including the shooter or any co-conspirators.
- Such charges may include murder, conspiracy, possession of an illegal firearm, aiding and abetting, etc. Resolves NO if some authority declares the suspected shooter to have acted alone, or if the lone suspect completes all trials before criminal charges are brought against any other person.
- ~~Also resolves NO if the case goes cold; i.e. no charges are brought by 1/1/2028.~~
Açık piyasalar
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺19,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mn
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺28 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺692,8 B
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.5pt84%
- No-2.5pt16%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺38,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺426 B
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺553,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺258,9 B
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No85%
- Yes-2.0pt15%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺32,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺207,1 B
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Maduro Prison Time?
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 90% fiyatlıyor.
- Will multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2028.
- Will multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if criminal charges are brought against more than one person for the assassination of Charlie Kirk, including the shooter or any co-conspirators.