Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 57.5%
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 May 26 23:29 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Vietnam's real GDP grow by at least 12% in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 0.5% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the official annual real GDP growth rate for Mexico in the calendar year 2026 is reported as 1.4% or higher.
- It resolves to "No" otherwise.
- The primary source for resolution will be the Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI) via their official press releases or the Banco de México (Banxico).
- Specifically, the market will resolve based on the final annual growth figure for 2026 as reported in early 2027.
- If preliminary data is used, the market will resolve once the annual growth estimate is finalized by these institutions.
Açık piyasalar
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+9.0pt62.4%
- No change-8.0pt36.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺286,2 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺39 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,9 Mn
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+6.5pt72%
- September Meeting+10.0pt64%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+5.0pt79.2%
- No-5.0pt20.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺428,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,4 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺22,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-4.5pt46.1%
- 2 (50 bps)+8.0pt30.4%
- 0 (0 bps)-5.5pt17.6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI core in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026?
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 58% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria