Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 97.7%
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Ara 24 23:57 UTC1 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026?
Manifold Markets💰If the first $10 Trillion dollar company is NOT Apple or Microsoft, which company will it be?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketKurallar
If Marc Andreessen is listed as a founder or co-founder of a new company (excluding investment firms, venture capital firms, or holding companies) in any official business filing or reputable news source before January 1, 2026, this market resolves YES.
Açık piyasalar
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.6pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.9pt13.5%
- Gemini+1.3pt10.6%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺562,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,4 Mn
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+18.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺13,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-10.0pt70%
- December 15,+10.5pt65%
- November 30,-0.5pt49%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+3.0pt99%
- Above 24%+6.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%99%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺11,3 Mn
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.55%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺13,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best AI this week
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released on?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 98% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Marc Andreessen is listed as a founder or co-founder of a new company (excluding investment firms, venture capital firms, or holding companies) in any official business filing or reputable news source before January 1, 2026, this market resolves YES.