Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?
One-OffSociety & Culture6ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 95.3%
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97
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 Mar 24 19:52 UTC27 Mar 27 06:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold MarketsWill a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?
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KalshiWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Andreessen tweeted this statement on 3/26/24.
- This question will resolve if/when a replacement bridge becomes operational.
- But it will close three years after the bridge collapse, on 3/26/27.
- I'm not betting in this market.
- To make this clearer:
- If the bridge is replaced before March 26, 2027, then the market will resolve as no.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 95% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 27 Mart 2027.
- Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Andreessen tweeted this statement on 3/26/24.