Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 88%
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62
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Şub 26 06:13 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If Iran’s regime falls by Dec 31 2027, will the trigger be external?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran's regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Iran's regime falls in 2026, will it be a surprise?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
PolymarketWill the Iranian Regime fall before October?
MyriadKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM Pacific Time (PT), the Islamic Republic of Iran is no longer the governing regime of Iran.
- This includes scenarios in which the regime is overthrown, collapses, or otherwise ceases to govern, and a fundamentally different system replaces it.
- Qualifying scenarios may include:
- Military coup
- Voluntary abdication of power
- Establishment of a new constitutional order, provisional government, or revolutionary authority
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺57,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺20,4 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.1pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt80.2%
- Yes-5.0pt19.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺527,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 3012%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 88% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM Pacific Time (PT), the Islamic Republic of Iran is no longer the governing regime of Iran.