Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 83.6%
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9
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Oca 26 07:03 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
KalshiMacron vs Owens: Who wins the defamation lawsuit?
MyriadWill Ubuntu be sued in Brazil?
Manifold MarketsWill Lantern Bioworks be sued over harm caused by their Lumina treatment by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill an emergency service provider be sued because of an AI system by eoy2027?
Manifold MarketsIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
I strongly dislike people who (I feel) abuse the legal system.
- My typical response to threats to sue for defamation is to refuse, and perhaps publish even more negative information about that party in response.
- (My two brushes with the risk so far have been my TCG-Con article where they threatened to sue me and never followed through, and my tangential involvement with the vexatious litigant Oliver Smith; I offered to host on my website one of the articles that he kept trying to get taken down via legal threats, but ended up not doing this because it stayed up elsewhere.)
- This has not caused any problems for me so far, and nobody has ever actually sued me.
- However, that may not remain the case forever.
- I will include for this purposes of this market suits that are technically not "for defamation", but are clearly in response to me publishing information that the other party did not like.
Açık piyasalar
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺574,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mn
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt25%
- October 31-2.5pt11%
- September 30-0.6pt3%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- John Brennan-1.0pt52%
- Leon Black31%
- Anthony Fauci-4.0pt25%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺78,5 Mn
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+23.0pt76.5%
- 60+-23.0pt13.3%
- <20-1.3pt8.2%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWho will be arrested before 2027?
- John Brennan27%
- Mahmoud Khalil18%
- James Clapper12%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺21,1 Mn
POLYMARKETSBF released from custody in 2026?
- No-0.1pt98%
- Yes+0.1pt2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺22,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺97,6 B
- Jimmy Lai released by which date?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- Jack Doherty Prison Time?
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 84% fiyatlıyor.
- Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I strongly dislike people who (I feel) abuse the legal system.