Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 84.1%
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Ara 25 17:14 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will I be able to hail a driverless Zoox ride in San Francisco by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsThe first fully autonomous vehicle will be sold to consumers in 2026 — but it won’t be from Tesla
Manifold MarketsWhen will it first be possible to rent an autonomous vehicle to drive between cities in North America without a license?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
I am currently approved for Waymo in the SF peninsula service area, and am on the waiting list for freeway access.
- I have not yet used Waymo, but I plan to before the end of 2025 (https://manifold.markets/MingweiSamuel/will-i-be-able-to-hail-a-driverless-2lIA6zLStc).
- Resolves yes if I can book a ride from Oakland to SF (or reverse) and successfully do so.
- The ride must not have a safety driver.
- (If I book a trip but do have a safety driver, I will try at least one more time to get a ride without one) (If I am not physically able to attempt to book a ride to check for myself, I will resolve N/A)
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺77,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺76,3 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°-2.0pt28.7%
- 90° or above+11.0pt26.7%
- 86° to 87°-10.0pt25.7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+9.0pt31.7%
- 160-179-2.0pt21.1%
- 200-219+5.0pt21.1%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+36.0pt99%
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,6 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to SF or back by the end of 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 84% fiyatlıyor.
- Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to SF or back by the end of 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to SF or back by the end of 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to SF or back by the end of 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I am currently approved for Waymo in the SF peninsula service area, and am on the waiting list for freeway access.