Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 50.3%
Tahminciler
32
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Tem 26 16:32 UTC31 Ara 31 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
In what year will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch?
Manifold MarketsWill the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope be renamed before the end of Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the creator's self-reported belief.
- It will resolve to YES if scientific results from the Euclid space telescope lower the creator's credence in the standard model of cosmology ($\Lambda$CDM).
- It will resolve to NO if the creator's credence is unchanged or increased.
- The Euclid space telescope, launched by the European Space Agency (ESA) in July 2023, is designed to map the time evolution history of the universe and investigate the properties of dark energy and dark matter.
- The observations are projected to give some critical tests of the standard model of cosmology:
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+23.4pt55%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺7,1 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202920%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.3pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mn
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,1 Mn
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺292,1 B
POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+15.8pt64.4%
- 4.2-4.4m-16.6pt27.9%
- 4.6-4.8m-0.1pt2.9%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Euclid space telescope lower my credence in the standard model of cosmology? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 50% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Euclid space telescope lower my credence in the standard model of cosmology? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Euclid space telescope lower my credence in the standard model of cosmology? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2031.
- Will Euclid space telescope lower my credence in the standard model of cosmology? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria