Will Elon Musk come out against one of the following consensus positions before the end of 2026? (Add answers)
JeopolitikYZHava Durumu2ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiVaccines are safe 25.6%6 seçenek arasında lider
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
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4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Mar 25 01:37 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES for any answer if, before the market close date, Elon Musk makes public statements that clearly contradict the scientific consensus position described in that answer.
- Specifically:
- For "the named outcome": The market will resolve YES if Musk explicitly states that climate change is not real, not happening, or not significantly caused by human activity.
- For "the named outcome": The market will resolve YES if Musk explicitly states that vaccines in general are unsafe, harmful, or more dangerous than the diseases they prevent.
- Coming out against mRNA vaccines counts if and only if there's a clear scientific consensus that they are safe.
