Will Democrats win back the house in 2026 midterms?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri16g
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 94.3%
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
19 Eyl 26 03:15 UTC14 Kas 26 11:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ?
Manifold MarketsOn what day will the New York Times (NYT) project the winner of the House for the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Max Miller leave the House before the midterms?
KalshiWhich party will win the house in 2026 midterms
Manifold MarketsWhen will the AP call control of the US House after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsSpeaker of the House after the midterms?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, as a result of the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections (scheduled for November 3, 2026), the Democratic Party wins back control of the House of Representatives for the 120th Congress.
- Specifically, YES will be the resolving outcome if:
- The Democratic Party wins a majority of at least 218 of the 435 voting seats.
- Or, if neither major party wins 218 seats due to independents or third-party representatives, the Democratic Party successfully organizes the chamber (e.g., by electing a Democrat as Speaker of the House at the start of the 120th Congress in January 2027).
- The market will resolve to NO if the Republican Party (or any other non-Democratic coalition) retains or wins a majority of seats or successfully organizes the chamber.