When will the AP call control of the US House after the 2026 midterms?
1.7 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri7g
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiElection night: Nov 3, before midnight ET 62.8%+1.7pt5 seçenek arasında lider
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Guncelligini yitirmis10 Eki 26 23:08 UTC3 Kas 26 22:00 UTC
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When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
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FutuurWill Republicans maintain control of the US house following the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves to the date (US Eastern Time) on which the Associated Press calls which party has won a majority (218+ seats) of the US House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections. **Resolution source:** the AP's race call for House control, as published on apnews.com (or the AP's live results page / AP Politics account).
- If the AP does not publish an explicit majority call, the time at which AP's own seat tally first shows 218 House seats called for one party counts as the call. **Answers (all times Eastern):** - Election night: Nov 3, before midnight - the named outcome - the named outcome - the named outcome - the named outcome Calls made after midnight ET on election night count as the named outcome.
- If the AP has made no call by December 31, 2026, resolves to "the named outcome".
- For reference: the AP called the House on November 16 in 2022 and November 13 in 2024, both years with narrow majorities.
- In 2018 (a Democratic wave), it was called on election night.
- The market closes before the first polls close on November 3.
