Will Republicans maintain control of the US house following the 2026 midterm elections?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri2ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 76.2%
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14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Eki 26 03:14 UTC31 Ara 26 11:00 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Republican Party wins a majority of seats (at least 218 of 435) in the United States House of Representatives in the midterm elections held on November 3, 2026, or otherwise maintains control of the chamber when the 120th Congress is officially convened on January 3, 2027.
- This market will resolve to NO if the Democratic Party (or any other non-Republican coalition) wins a majority of seats or otherwise secures control of the chamber.
- Key Details:
- Tie-Breaker/Independent Seats: If neither major party wins 218 seats outright due to third-party or independent representatives, control will be determined by which party officially organizes the House and elects the Speaker of the House when the 120th Congress convenes.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by official election results published by the Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
