KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Before Nov 4 40%10 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
34 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺3,5 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
6.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
20 Ağu 26 14:00 UTC4 Kas 26 04:00 UTC
Trendler
0%
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Kurallar
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:The Associated Press
- The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or equivalent clear language indicating the outlet has determined the winner.
- The call must appear on one of the outlet's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is their primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the outlet's platform, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication.
- If the call is later retracted, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes based on the initial call time.
- Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify as definitive calls.
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
