Which party will win the house in 2026 midterms
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri22gManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiDemocratic Party 88.7%
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+38.7 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Eki 26 18:51 UTC3 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on which political party wins majority control of the United States House of Representatives in the midterm elections held on November 3, 2026.
- An option (e.g., "the named outcome" or "the named outcome") will resolve to YES if that party wins at least 218 voting seats out of the 435 up for election.
- All other options will resolve to NO.
- No Clear Majority / Tie-Breaker: If no single party wins 218 seats (for instance, due to independent or third-party representatives), the market will resolve to YES for the party that successfully organizes the House and elects its nominee as the Speaker of the House for the 120th Congress in January 2027.
- Source of Truth: The market will resolve using the official election results published by the Clerk of the United States House of Representatives, or consensus calls by major national election decision desks (e.g., Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ) once the outcome is mathematically settled.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- PredictIt üzerinde de mevcut — Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? · Democratic 90%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 90%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 91%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 89%
