Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 83.8%
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15
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Mar 23 03:14 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
Manifold MarketsChamath prediction: Will David Sacks run for governor of California by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketWill Midjourney be found liable for copyright infringement in the Disney/Comcast lawsuit in 2026?
FutuurTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketKurallar
Anything highly credible, such as findings of fraud with SBF.
- Doesn't need to be legally charged, but that's a bonus.
Açık piyasalar
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+13.0pt65%
- Yes-13.0pt35%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺19,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺695,8 B
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-1.0pt21%
- 20265%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺28,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺376,7 B
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺554 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺325,8 B
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+1.9pt10.8%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-8.0pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will David Sacks be found to have committed a felony before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 84% fiyatlıyor.
- Will David Sacks be found to have committed a felony before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will David Sacks be found to have committed a felony before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- Will David Sacks be found to have committed a felony before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Anything highly credible, such as findings of fraud with SBF.