Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 52%
Tahminciler
23
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
20 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Mar 23 17:16 UTC31 Ara 30 12:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
By 2027, will Silicon Photonics based multi-chip packages be the main way that most data centres handle data and network traffic?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic buy >1GW of capacity from Australian data centres by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
PolymarketWill Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal?
KalshiWill the federal government start mining Bitcoin?
KalshiKurallar
From https://metaculus.com//questions/15610/data-centres-10-of-global-electricity/ Based on a recent report by the [IEA](https://www.iea.org/reports/data-centres-and-data-transmission-networks), demand for digital services has experienced rapid growth, with internet users and traffic more than doubling and expanding 20-fold since 2010, respectively.
- Data centres and data transmission networks account for around 1-1.5% of global electricity use, with energy efficiency improvements and renewable energy adoption mitigating the energy demand.
- Data centres and transmission networks contributed 0.9% of energy-related GHG emissions in 2020.
- Although global data centre energy use (excluding crypto) has grown only moderately due to efficiency improvements in some regions, smaller countries have seen rapid growth.
- Data transmission network energy efficiency has also improved rapidly.
- See below for the IEA table summarising the change between 2015 and 2021 for relevant metrics, with ‘Data centre energy use (excluding crypto)’ being the main indicator of relevance for this question. | Indicator | 2015 | 2021 | Change | |-----------------------------------------------|-----------|--------------|-----------------| | Internet users | 3 billion | 4.9 billion | +60% | | Internet traffic | 0.6 ZB | 3.4 ZB | +440% | | Data centre workloads | 180 million | 650 million | +260% | | **Data centre energy use (excluding crypto)** | 200 TWh | **220-320 TWh** | +10-60% | | Crypto mining energy use | 4 TWh | 100-140 TWh | +2,300-3,300% | | Data transmission network energy use | 220 TWh | 260-340 TWh | +20-60% | In Ireland, data centres already consumed 14% of the country’s electricity in 2021, according to the [Central Statistics Office](https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/ep/p-dcmec/datacentresmeteredelectricityconsumption2021/).
Açık piyasalar
CryptoPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+3.1pt100%
- $25M+5.2pt99%
- $50M+11.7pt98%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺107 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺92,2 Mn
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.3pt100%
- 74,000+0.3pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 12pm EDT?
- $77,500 or above99%
- $77,400 or above99%
- $77,100 or above99%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺58,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺56,1 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,000 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $76,250 or above98%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺50,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺49,9 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺70,2 Mn
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900100%
- 2,000+0.4pt100%
- 2,100+0.5pt100%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will $LAPTOP flip $TRUMP by which date?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 9?
- Bitcoin price on September 9?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 52% fiyatlıyor.
- Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.
- Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: From https://metaculus.com//questions/15610/data-centres-10-of-global-electricity/ Based on a recent report by the [IEA](https://www.iea.org/reports/data-centres-and-data-transmission-networks), demand for digital services has experienced rapid growth, with internet users and traffic more than doubling and expanding 20-fold since 2010, respectively.