Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 65%
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
20 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis28 May 26 04:24 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Anthropic cover costs of electricity price increases from its data centers before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill at least three more U.S. states impose special electricity tariffs on data centers before Jan 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?
KalshiWill data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsNumber of data centers in Pennsylvania in 2026?
KalshiWill Virginia require data centers to use clean energy?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if an official report from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), or the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) states that data centers consumed more than 10.0% of total U.S. electricity usage (or retail sales, consumption, or grid demand) during the calendar year 2028.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Details:
- Primary Source of Truth: Reports such as the LBNL/DOE Report on U.S. Data Center Energy Use (available at energy.gov) or the EIA's Annual Energy Outlook / Electric Power Annual (available at eia.gov) covering the calendar year 2028.
- Calculation Fallback: If the report does not explicitly state a final percentage but provides both the U.S. data center electricity consumption (in TWh or BkWh) and total U.S. electricity consumption/sales (in TWh or BkWh) for 2028, the percentage will be calculated as: $$\text{Percentage} = \left(\frac{\text{U.S. Data Center Consumption}}{\text{Total U.S. Electricity Consumption}}\right) \times 100$$
