Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 66.5%
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21
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Nis 24 16:32 UTC5 Mar 45 22:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which of these conflicts will turn into a hot war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
PolymarketUkraine damages Kremlin with drone or missile before Russia-Ukraine war ends?
Manifold MarketsUS Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a conflict or set of conflicts have become commonly referred to as "The Drone Wars".
- At least one of these conflicts this term refers to must have occurred between January 1st 2020 and December 31st 2029.
- If no such terminology has emerged by January 1st 2045, then this question resolves as NO.
- If there is weak evidence that this term is used, but no strong evidence that it is commonplace, then this question resolves as N/A.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺34,6 Mn
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-10.0pt72%
- September 18-11.0pt65%
- September 11-15.0pt54%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.1pt49.6%
- October 31-2.0pt29.6%
- September 30-4.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,7 Mn
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 67% fiyatlıyor.
- Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 5 Mart 2045.
- Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a conflict or set of conflicts have become commonly referred to as "The Drone Wars".