Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 77.9%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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46 dakika önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli28 Nis 24 11:11 UTC31 Ara 45 19:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be a prion disease outbreak in the United States before 2028 that kills more than 24 people?
Manifold MarketsIs Dario Amodei correct that most human disease be cured in 5-10 years?
Manifold MarketsWill All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
KalshiAny vaccine against Alzheimer's disease to be safe and effective by the end of 2027?
FutuurHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Currently all prion diseases are considered fatal and incurable.
- I'll resolve yes if, by the end of 31 December 2045, there's a human being who was previously infected with prion disease (previously fatal and incurable) and has been cured of it, according to widespread medical consensus.
- Even if there are lingering side effects, I will resolve YES if the consensus is that death of said disease is no longer inevitable for that person.
- ("Inevitable" as in "the person is certain to die of said disease unless something else kills them first")
- If a human has definitely been cured but the relevant medical intervention is hard or impossible to replicate, it's enough to resolve YES anyway.
- Something like the Berlin patient (but for a prion disease instead of HIV) would trigger a YES resolution.
Açık piyasalar
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺876,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1 Mn
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺291,7 B
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺51,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺85,3 B
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000+1.0pt60%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺48,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺58,5 B
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will at least one human be cured of a prion disease by EOY 2045? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 78% fiyatlıyor.
- Will at least one human be cured of a prion disease by EOY 2045? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will at least one human be cured of a prion disease by EOY 2045? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2045.
- Will at least one human be cured of a prion disease by EOY 2045? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Currently all prion diseases are considered fatal and incurable.