Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 70.5%
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
34 dakika önce güncellendi
4 May 26 20:22 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiOpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
KalshiOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s IPO Form S-1 be public by 31 October 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-12-31, any government or sovereign-wealth-fund publicly announces a single AI-infrastructure investment commitment of $10 billion USD or more.
- "Sovereign-AI deal" includes: government-funded AI compute capacity, sovereign-cloud investments, government-AI-procurement frameworks with stated budgets, sovereign-wealth-fund equity investments in AI infrastructure companies, government data-center build commitments.
- The deal must be ≥$10B in stated commitment value.
- Source of truth: government press releases, sovereign-wealth-fund public communications, ministerial-level announcements, publicly reported via primary sources (gov.* domains) or major news outlets citing primary sources.
- A single line-item in a national budget that allocates ≥$10B to AI counts.
- A multi-year program where the announced commitment ≥$10B counts.