Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 88.3%
Tahminciler
36
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Haz 25 00:25 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these predictions from @tanya_sabrinaaa will come true in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich "AI 2027" predictions will be right by Late 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PolymarketAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Three prongs:
- 1) China agreeing to AI pause or
- 2) open AI having $3T revenue or
- 3) open AI having 80% of global compute by eoy 2028
- Inspired by my offer to @ScottAlexander on Twitter
- https://x.com/abcampbell/status/1909178653050880152
Açık piyasalar
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺634,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,2 Mn
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+9.0pt52.8%
- 27°C+3.0pt22.6%
- 25°C-4.0pt16%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No72.3%
- Yes27.7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺758,1 B
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+0.5pt89.1%
- Yes-0.5pt10.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺150,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺623,7 B
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.4pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 88% fiyatlıyor.
- Will ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2028.
- Will ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Three prongs: