Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 77.2%
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Haz 23 09:04 UTC2 Oca 30 05:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030?
Manifold MarketsYemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketTencent market share this week
KalshiKurallar
market will resolve jan 1, 2030. "becoming a citizen" is defined as passing whatever citizenship test the country in question has, OR a country's lawmakers deciding that one or more AIs is human enough to be granted citizen status after being assembled/programmed in that country, much like how a baby born there is granted citizen status.
Sık sorulan sorular
- will any AI become a citizen of any internationally recognized country before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 77% fiyatlıyor.
- will any AI become a citizen of any internationally recognized country before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- will any AI become a citizen of any internationally recognized country before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2030.
- will any AI become a citizen of any internationally recognized country before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: market will resolve jan 1, 2030. "becoming a citizen" is defined as passing whatever citizenship test the country in question has, OR a country's lawmakers deciding that one or more AIs is human enough to be granted citizen status after being assembled/programmed in that country, much like how a baby born there is granted citizen status.