Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 87.8%
Tahminciler
105
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Şub 23 15:48 UTC31 Ara 29 22:01 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2030?
Manifold MarketsHigh Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Market resolves to YES if:
- At least one movie with footage that is entirely generated by a text-to-video AI is nominated for an Oscar before 2030.
- Everything else can be done by humans, including music score, script-writing, dialogue and editing, provided all of the original footage is AI-generated.
- The movie can be nominated in any category.
- Close date updated to 2030-01-01 12:01 am
Açık piyasalar
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mn
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+6.5pt73.3%
- 940 - 950m-5.5pt22.8%
- 970m++0.6pt2%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+15.0pt57%
- Jack Barton-13.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-10.0pt16%
+27 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺102,2 Mn
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+29.4pt51.4%
- No Bond chosen-3.9pt18.1%
- Jack Barton-4.5pt7.6%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-58.0pt16%
- Above 50-61.0pt4%
- Above 55-51.0pt2%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,6 Mn
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-3.0pt39.2%
- Dune: Part Three-1.0pt9.6%
- The Black Ball-1.0pt8.8%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺238,3 Mn
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 88% fiyatlıyor.
- Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Market resolves to YES if: