Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 71%
Tahminciler
74
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis14 Mar 23 23:02 UTC14 Mar 33 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence (AI) policy be an explicitly partisan political issue before 2030 🤖🇺🇸⚖️💻
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWho IPOs first?
MyriadWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
PolymarketKurallar
Some singularitarians and transhumanists seem to have an almost childlike naivete about economic growth.
- No matter how fast AI develops technology, if politicians and government bureaucrats place enough roadblocks in the way of new technology, it won't be able to solve the problems it's supposed to solve.
- For example, in the UK, the planning system has made it almost impossible to build new onshore wind turbines and solar farms, and has even made it more difficult to build new offshore wind turbines:
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/fCLHfjNTldQ)So at a certain point, politics becomes the limiting factor, not technology.
- In the UK, it won't matter how good wind turbine technology gets, if NIMBYs can still block most wind turbines from ever being erected.
- In California, it won't matter how good prefabricated home technology gets and how good house-building robots get, if NIMBYs can still block most new housing from ever being constructed.
Açık piyasalar
Crypto
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,486.84 target
- Yes99%
- No1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺81,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺57,2 Mn
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.7pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-8.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺23,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,6 Mn
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above98%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺61,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺17,4 Mn
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+3.0pt86.1%
- Yes-3.0pt13.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺702 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺13,8 Mn
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
- What price will Ethereum hit on September 8?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 71% fiyatlıyor.
- Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 14 Mart 2033.
- Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Some singularitarians and transhumanists seem to have an almost childlike naivete about economic growth.