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CoinRithm

Şirket

Tüzel Kişilik
Bees-x Limited
Şirket Numarası
13308136
Kuruluş Yeri
England and Wales
Kayıtlı Ofis
Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm, Bees-x Limited tarafından işletilen bir bilgi ve araştırma hizmetidir. Düzenlenmiş faaliyetleri yürütmek üzere Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) tarafından yetkilendirilmemiştir ve bu sitedeki hiçbir içerik finansal tavsiye değildir.

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  1. Tahmin Piyasaları
  2. YZ
  3. Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X?
Manifold Markets

Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X?

YZTeknolojiBilimYearly23y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKYC yok
Güncel topluluk tahmini
Manifold Markets
2026 0%
15 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler

31

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

5 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis
11 Ağu 25 16:111 Oca 50 22:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Seçilen sonuç

202721%

Kurallar

The definition of major conjecture for the purposes of this market is one of the 129 "open problems" in this Wikipedia article as of 1 August 2025: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_conjectures

Manifold Markets
  • If a valid proof found by an AI is posted, then all years after the posting date will resolve YES.
  • The proof has to be accepted by a majority of the mathematical community (this market will stay open for a significant amount of time after a claimed proof to allow for disputes to arise).
  • It does not count if the problem was solved by a human beforehand.
  • If the proof was a human-AI collaboration, that is likely not sufficient for a YES-resolution, unless an overwhelming amount of the work (>90%) was done by the AI.
  • If the AI produces an essentially complete proof, but humans reformulate the proof into easier-to-read prose, that would be sufficient.

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Kurallar

The definition of major conjecture for the purposes of this market is one of the 129 "open problems" in this Wikipedia article as of 1 August 2025: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_conjectures

Manifold Markets
  • If a valid proof found by an AI is posted, then all years after the posting date will resolve YES.
  • The proof has to be accepted by a majority of the mathematical community (this market will stay open for a significant amount of time after a claimed proof to allow for disputes to arise).
  • It does not count if the problem was solved by a human beforehand.
  • If the proof was a human-AI collaboration, that is likely not sufficient for a YES-resolution, unless an overwhelming amount of the work (>90%) was done by the AI.
  • If the AI produces an essentially complete proof, but humans reformulate the proof into easier-to-read prose, that would be sufficient.