Güncel topluluk tahmini
AGI 76.6%
Tahminciler
32
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+22.4 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmisTrendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will commercial nuclear fusion exist in April of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
KalshiWill Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves when either the named outcome reaches 1% of electricity globally, or when artificial general intelligence is reached.
- If none of these ever get achieved by humanity, this never resolves.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will AGI or widespread commercial nuclear fusion be developed first? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla AGI için 77% fiyatlıyor.
- Will AGI or widespread commercial nuclear fusion be developed first? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves when either the named outcome reaches 1% of electricity globally, or when artificial general intelligence is reached.