Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?
JeopolitikOne-OffRusya / UkraynaÇinAvrupa1y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 81.7%
Tahminciler
26
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis29 Mar 25 09:48 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a US-China war if Trump gets elected in 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill a war break out between two or more countries over control of Antarctic land or resources by 2027?
Manifold MarketsA China Russia AI will indict president Joe Trump in Delaware
Manifold MarketsUS x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
PolymarketUS x China Military clash before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
For the purposes of this question, a serious war is defined as causing at least 1,000 combat-related deaths, as listed here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ongoing_armed_conflicts.
- For the conflict to qualify, it needs to involve at least two of the major military powers listed in the title, in opposing camps.
- [link preview]"Europe" is either the European Union, or one of the major European militaries (UK, France, Germany).
- An internal European conflict such as UK-France would also count.