Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
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Resolution Criteria:
- The Al's actions must be unexpected and not reasonably predictable by its operators.
- Incidents where operators were aware of the risks but ignored them do not count.
- Deaths resulting from human decisions, where Al serves merely as a tool or assistant, are excluded (war, etc).
- The question concerns the total number of deaths caused by Al.
- Multiple deadly incidents from different Al systems will be combined if it occurs within 365 days.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 89% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution Criteria: