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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any real-world household robot benchmark appear by EOY 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiKurallar
The development of general-purpose robots capable of performing household chores has been a long-standing goal in the field of robotics.
- Such a robot would need to be versatile, adaptable, and capable of handling a wide range of tasks and environments commonly found in American homes.
- Achieving this level of capability remains a significant challenge.
- Will a general household robot capable of performing household chores to a high level of reliability be developed before January 1st, 2030?
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2030, a general household robot is developed anywhere in the world and has been publicly and credibly documented to have:
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Sık sorulan sorular
- 1 Ocak 2030'dan önce güvenilir ve genel amaçlı bir ev robotu geliştirilecek mi? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 60% fiyatlıyor.
- 1 Ocak 2030'dan önce güvenilir ve genel amaçlı bir ev robotu geliştirilecek mi? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- 1 Ocak 2030'dan önce güvenilir ve genel amaçlı bir ev robotu geliştirilecek mi? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2030.
- 1 Ocak 2030'dan önce güvenilir ve genel amaçlı bir ev robotu geliştirilecek mi? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The development of general-purpose robots capable of performing household chores has been a long-standing goal in the field of robotics.