Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 79.7%
Tahminciler
180
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 dakika önce güncellendi
4 Mar 26 03:00 UTC1 Oca 27 03:50 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Donut Battery powered car delivered by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on.
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I deem Donut Lab's solid state battery claims in their video to have been false one year from now?
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KalshiWill OpenAI publicly claim a solution to a SECOND Millennium Prize Problem by November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
(This settles EOY if necessary but we will surely know much sooner)
- Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if independent testing confirms the Donut Battery contains less than 0.1% lithium by weight.
- The market resolves NO if testing confirms lithium content at or above 0.1% by weight.
- Resolution will be determined by peer-reviewed analysis, official company disclosure with third-party verification, or independent laboratory testing from credible institutions (e.g., VTT Technical Research Centre, university materials science departments, or certified battery analysis labs).
- Links to testing results and composition data will serve as primary resolution sources.
