Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027?

YZOne-Off6ay

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 72.9%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

11 dakika önce güncellendi

9 Nis 26 20:48 UTC31 Mar 27 23:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

İlgili Piyasalar

Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.

Will any AI model achieve 4k on CodeForces by EOY?

Manifold Markets

Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%?

Manifold Markets

What will the frontier METR time horizon be on January 1, 2027?

Manifold Markets

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Polymarket

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Kalshi

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Kalshi

Kurallar

This Question resolves YES if METR makes it known publicly that an AI model has an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks.

It will resolve N/A if METR announces the end of time horizons or stops doing them.
n/a if they don’t release a task that long

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir

Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027?

YZOne-Off6ay

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 72.9%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

11 dakika önce güncellendi

9 Nis 26 20:48 UTC31 Mar 27 23:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

İlgili Piyasalar

Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.

Will any AI model achieve 4k on CodeForces by EOY?

Manifold Markets

Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%?

Manifold Markets

What will the frontier METR time horizon be on January 1, 2027?

Manifold Markets

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Polymarket

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Kalshi

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Kalshi

Kurallar

This Question resolves YES if METR makes it known publicly that an AI model has an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks.

It will resolve N/A if METR announces the end of time horizons or stops doing them.
n/a if they don’t release a task that long

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir

Sık sorulan sorular

Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?: Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 73% fiyatlıyor.
Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?: Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Mart 2027.
Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?: Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This Question resolves YES if METR makes it known publicly that an AI model has an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks.

Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027?

Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027?

Sık sorulan sorular

Açık piyasalar

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?

Top AI model in September?

Anthropic IPO by which date?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?