Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 64.7%
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21
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Mar 25 13:25 UTC31 Ara 30 21:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Nuclear weapon used offensively in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon be used in a war by the end of this decade?
Manifold MarketsA nuclear weapon is used in any conflict before January 1, 2029
Manifold MarketsNuclear weapon used offensively before 2100?
Manifold MarketsNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketKurallar
This market will resolve to YES, If any nuclear weapon is used before or in 2030.
- This includes weapons not used in war.
- Such as in a test.
- This includes smaller yield weapons, that are not necessarily as bombastic as an intercontinental ballistic missiles, (what's important is the payload)
- This DOES NOT include nuclear powered weapons, such as air-craft carriers or submarines (as they don't even fall under my definition of a weapon, and are considered weapon platforms)