Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 60.2%
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Ağu 26 16:22 UTC1 Oca 29 02:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
If a large language models beats a super grandmaster (Classic elo of above 2,700) while playing blind chess by 2028, this market resolves to YES.
- I will ignore fun games, at my discretion.
- (Say a game where Hiraku loses to ChatGPT because he played the Bongcloud)
- Some clarification (28th Mar 2023): This market grew fast with a unclear description.
- My idea is to check whether a general intelligence can play chess, without being created specifically for doing so (like humans aren't chess playing machines).
- Some previous comments I did.
