Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 60.1%
Tahminciler
89
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Haz 25 11:34 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a large language model beat a super grandmaster at chess by EOY 2035?
Manifold Markets46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketWhich parties will be in next Swedish Government?
PolymarketKurallar
The LLM must not be limited to only playing chess.
- For example, if an LLM can play chess and hold a conversation, it counts.
- However, it cannot make use of a non-LLM based chess engine, or non-LLM related computation, like a calculator or a python script.
- A super grandmaster has a FIDE Elo rating of 2700 or more.
- The super GM must be trying to win the game.
- The game format is unspecified.
Açık piyasalar
Sports
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R11.5%
- Buffalo-1.0pt10.6%
- San Francisco8%
+29 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺105,3 Mn
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Nflgame 26 SEP 21 Nyglar
- LAR+1.0pt72.8%
- NYG27.2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺97,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺97,6 Mn
KALSHIKrejcikova vs Friedsam
- Barbora Krejcikova-16.0pt70%
- Anna-Lena Friedsam+12.0pt30%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺92,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺90,9 Mn
POLYMARKETDota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+33 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺83,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺83,2 Mn
POLYMARKETDota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- Game 2 Winner100%
- Games Total: O/U 2.5 — Over100%
- Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?98%
+30 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺68,6 Mn
KALSHIFedEx Open de France Winner
- Ludvig Åberg-2.1pt8.9%
- Tommy Fleetwood-0.2pt8.9%
- Matt Fitzpatrick-0.1pt8%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- AFC Championship Winner
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- NFL 2026-27: Champion
- Ole Miss vs Florida
- England vs Sri Lanka
- MVP Winner?
- Pro Baseball Champion
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Tampa Bay vs New York Y: Game 1
- Oklahoma St. vs West Virginia: Spread
- Atlanta vs Green Bay
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 22 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 60.1% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2028.
- Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The LLM must not be limited to only playing chess.