Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 85.8%
Tahminciler
7
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 Kas 24 17:01 UTC6 Kas 26 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories from 2025-2028 inclusive?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a fourth Korean Nobel Prize winner in 2026? Diaspora counts.
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew G York win the Dickson Prize in Science?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiKurallar
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Korean_Nobel_laureates_and_nominees
- Korean diaspora is fine but must have some Korean ancestry.
- Economics prize counts.
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+11.2pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-23.4pt55%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6,4 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.5pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,2 Mn
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺449,7 B
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt46.1%
- Above 1+20.0pt38.5%
- Above 2-6.0pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories in 2025 or 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 86% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories in 2025 or 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories in 2025 or 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 6 Kasım 2026.
- Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories in 2025 or 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Korean_Nobel_laureates_and_nominees