Will a Fields Medal be awarded to a human mathematician by the end of 2030?

Sık sorulan sorular

Will a Fields Medal be awarded to a human mathematician by the end of 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 29 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 87.6% fiyatlıyor.

Will a Fields Medal be awarded to a human mathematician by the end of 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will a Fields Medal be awarded to a human mathematician by the end of 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.

Will a Fields Medal be awarded to a human mathematician by the end of 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This question tracks a $10,000 even-odds bet between me (Tamay Besiroglu) and Christian Szegedy, an AI researcher and founding member of xAI.

Bu piyasayı kodda veya bir yapay zeka ajanında kullanın

Bu piyasa için ücretsiz JSON, API anahtarı gerekmez:

Yapay zeka ajanları: CoinRithm MCP sunucusunda pm_data_event aracını çağırın:

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31+0.1pt4%
• October 31-0.2pt0%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim

₺3,8 Mr

24s Hacim

₺6,1 Mn

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt23.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt15.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.2pt

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 29, 2026?

• 6.1 or more+75.8pt97.1%
• 5.3 to 5.4-14.9pt1%
• 5.9 to 6.0-11.9pt1%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

POLYMARKET

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

• June 30+12.0pt37%
• December 31+1.5pt6%

Toplam Hacim

₺1,7 Mn

24s Hacim

₺214,2 B

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes+9.3pt83.1%
• No17%

Toplam Hacim

₺22,2 Mn

24s Hacim

₺159,6 B

POLYMARKET

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

• 4,189.3 or 4,189.4+0.5pt85.9%
• Below 4,189.3+2.9pt10.1%
• 4,189.5 or 4,189.6+0.7pt4%

+1 daha fazla sonuç

• Is Earth flat?
• 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
• Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
• Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
• How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
• How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
• US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
• Natural Disaster in 2026?
• Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
• Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?