Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 93% fiyatlıyor.

Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.

Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria

Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030?

One-OffBilim Space4y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 93.1%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

7 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

23 Ağu 26 02:07 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

İlgili Piyasalar

Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.

Will a Pulsar Timing Array experiment detect gravitational waves from a resolvable point source before the year 2030?

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A Pulsar Timing Detection of a Deviation from Kerr in Sgr A*

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Will Sabine Hossenfelder mention any prediction markets on string theory or BSM physics before the end of 2027?

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Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2030, at 11:59 PM UTC, a major pulsar timing array (PTA) collaboration—such as NANOGrav, EPTA, PPTA, InPTA, CPTA, or the overarching International Pulsar Timing Array (IPTA)—publishes a peer-reviewed paper or releases an official announcement declaring the confirmed detection of cosmic strings (or cosmic superstrings).
To qualify as a "detection" for a YES resolution:
The publication or announcement must explicitly claim a discovery or detection of cosmic strings, rather than merely stating that they are "not ruled out," "consistent with" the data, or "highly constrained".
The signal must be attributed to cosmic strings—either via a stochastic gravitational-wave background (SGWB) component definitively associated with cosmic string networks, or through individual gravitational-wave bursts (such as from cosmic string cusps or kinks).
The statistical significance of the detection must meet the scientific collaboration's threshold for a formal claim of detection/discovery (typically a $5\sigma$ significance or a decisive Bayes factor over alternative hypotheses like supermassive black hole binaries) as stated in the official announcement.

Açık piyasalar

Science

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When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

Before 2035+19.9pt95%
Before 2030+6.0pt82%
Before 2029+23.4pt55%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺12,7 Mn
24s Hacim: ₺7,1 Mn

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

December 31+0.1pt4%
September 30+0.1pt1%
April 300%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 202920%
Before 202813%
Before 2027+0.3pt5%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺1,6 Mr
24s Hacim: ₺1,6 Mn

KALSHI

When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?

Before 2030+71.0pt92%
Before 2035+11.0pt56%
Before 203248%

+1 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺6,1 Mn

KALSHI

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

No97%
Yes-0.9pt3%

Toplam Hacim: ₺91,4 Mn
24s Hacim: ₺292,1 B

POLYMARKET

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

4.4-4.6m+15.8pt64.4%
4.2-4.4m-16.6pt27.9%
4.6-4.8m-0.1pt2.9%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Sık sorulan sorular

Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?: Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 93% fiyatlıyor.
Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?: Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.
Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?: Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir

Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030?

One-OffBilim Space4y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 93.1%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

7 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

23 Ağu 26 02:07 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

İlgili Piyasalar

Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.

Will a Pulsar Timing Array experiment detect gravitational waves from a resolvable point source before the year 2030?

Manifold Markets

A Pulsar Timing Detection of a Deviation from Kerr in Sgr A*

Manifold Markets

Will Sabine Hossenfelder mention any prediction markets on string theory or BSM physics before the end of 2027?

Manifold Markets

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Polymarket

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Kalshi

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Kalshi

Kurallar

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2030, at 11:59 PM UTC, a major pulsar timing array (PTA) collaboration—such as NANOGrav, EPTA, PPTA, InPTA, CPTA, or the overarching International Pulsar Timing Array (IPTA)—publishes a peer-reviewed paper or releases an official announcement declaring the confirmed detection of cosmic strings (or cosmic superstrings).
To qualify as a "detection" for a YES resolution:
The publication or announcement must explicitly claim a discovery or detection of cosmic strings, rather than merely stating that they are "not ruled out," "consistent with" the data, or "highly constrained".
The signal must be attributed to cosmic strings—either via a stochastic gravitational-wave background (SGWB) component definitively associated with cosmic string networks, or through individual gravitational-wave bursts (such as from cosmic string cusps or kinks).
The statistical significance of the detection must meet the scientific collaboration's threshold for a formal claim of detection/discovery (typically a $5\sigma$ significance or a decisive Bayes factor over alternative hypotheses like supermassive black hole binaries) as stated in the official announcement.

Açık piyasalar

Science

KALSHI

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

Before 2035+19.9pt95%
Before 2030+6.0pt82%
Before 2029+23.4pt55%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺12,7 Mn
24s Hacim: ₺7,1 Mn

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

December 31+0.1pt4%
September 30+0.1pt1%
April 300%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 202920%
Before 202813%
Before 2027+0.3pt5%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺1,6 Mr
24s Hacim: ₺1,6 Mn

KALSHI

When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?

Before 2030+71.0pt92%
Before 2035+11.0pt56%
Before 203248%

+1 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺6,1 Mn

KALSHI

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

No97%
Yes-0.9pt3%

Toplam Hacim: ₺91,4 Mn
24s Hacim: ₺292,1 B

POLYMARKET

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

4.4-4.6m+15.8pt64.4%
4.2-4.4m-16.6pt27.9%
4.6-4.8m-0.1pt2.9%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Sık sorulan sorular

Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?: Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 93% fiyatlıyor.
Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?: Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.
Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?: Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir