Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiJeopolitikOrta Doğu2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 54.9%
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
43 dakika önce güncellendi
9 Tem 26 17:12 UTC20 Oca 29 11:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30?
PolymarketHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 26?
PolymarketKurallar
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- Must occur after market creation, July 9th.
- (which aligns with the start of the Iran war, of course this happened on a semi daily basis pre war.)
