Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
One-OffJeopolitikMiddle East3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 98.9%
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23
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis27 May 26 15:34 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
Manifold MarketsHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?
PolymarketWill __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?
PolymarketKurallar
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- Update 2026-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will only consider days after market creation (not any day in 2026 including before creation).
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Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+2.0pt76%
- September 18+3.0pt72%
- September 11+6.0pt66%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺89,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺31,7 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+0.5pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.0pt84.2%
- Yes-4.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺542,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14,5 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt29%
- Before Jan 1, 202826%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺391,8 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.