Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 86.5%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Tem 25 23:33 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2030, wild honey bee populations are declared functionally extinct in the USA by a reputable scientific organization or governmental body. "Functionally extinct" is defined as a species whose population has declined to the point where it can no longer play a significant role in its ecosystem or sustain a viable population.
- Official declarations from organizations such as the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) or the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service will serve as the primary sources for resolution.
- If no such declaration is made by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
