Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Demographics 29.7%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
50
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Eyl 23 02:44 UTC26 Eyl 28 03:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ben & Jerry's Chocolate Chip Cookie Dough ice cream still be produced by 2065?
Manifold MarketsWill the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
KalshiWill my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2030
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
KalshiWhen will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
KalshiKurallar
See Nutrition Science's Most Preposterous Result, from The Atlantic, May 2023.
- Choi 2005 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/article-abstract/1152788
- Korat 2018 http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:37925665
- Nutr 2019 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6821541/
- Resolves to my best guess five years after creating the market.
- If there are multiple causes, will resolve to my subjective weighting of factors.
Açık piyasalar
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺880,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1 Mn
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺51,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺227,5 B
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺147,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺89,9 B
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000+2.0pt61%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺49 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺79 B
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺68 B
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
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- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
- Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Demographics için 30% fiyatlıyor.
- Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 26 Eylül 2028.
- Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: See Nutrition Science's Most Preposterous Result, from The Atlantic, May 2023.