Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiOther 26.5%+0.6pt61 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
489
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+0.6 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Ağu 23 16:14 UTC2 Şub 29 04:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
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Manifold MarketsWho will come second at the 2028 United States presidential elections? (Add Responses)
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KalshiKurallar
Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later
- Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 68%
- Robinhood (Rothera) üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 24%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 18%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 18%
- Futuur üzerinde de mevcut — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028 ·