Güncel ima edilen olasılık
JD Vance 44.1%-0.1%31 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
28 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺0
Likidite
₺0
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
-
Piyasa verileri
13 dakika önce guncellendi
24 Şub 26 12:357 Kas 28 13:00
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
JD Vance44%
Platformları karşılaştır· JD Vance
24s hacme göre sıralı| Platform | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketEn aktif | 20% | 0pt | ₺189,2 Mn | ₺1,8 Mr | 3 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Kalshi | 18% | -2pt | ₺14,2 Mn | ₺1,7 Mr | 17 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Manifold Markets | 19% | -1pt | — | — | 13 dakika önce | Aç → |
 MyriadBu sayfa | 44% | +24pt | ₺0 | ₺0 | 13 dakika önce | |
 Smarkets | 17% | -3pt | ₺0 | ₺0 | 13 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Limitless | 20% | +0pt | ₺0 | ₺0 | 14 dakika önce | Aç → |
Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
2y
0.3%
-0.1%13.5%
0.2%
+42 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini1,006 tahminciTür: multiple choice
Toplam Hacim₺60,1 Mn
24s Hacim₺4,1 B
MANIFOLD MARKETSPolymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Presidential Election Winner 2028
0.2%2y
+0.1%20%
-0.6%14%
12%
+125 daha fazla sonuç
89 • Yüksek kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺30,5 Mr
24s Hacim₺189,2 Mn
POLYMARKETSmarkets üzerinde de mevcut
2028 Presidential Election Winner
6.7%
0.2%
0.2%
+36 daha fazla sonuç
28 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺14,6 Mn
24s Hacim₺0
SMARKETSLimitless üzerinde de mevcut
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2y
20.1%
12%
13.8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
28 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺782,3 B
24s Hacim₺0
LIMITLESSKalshi üzerinde de mevcut
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
0.2%3y
+0.2%1%
1%
0%
+27 daha fazla sonuç
73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺2,3 Mr
24s Hacim₺14,2 Mn
KALSHIKurallar
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S.
- Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
- ### **Resolution Details:**
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S.
- Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
- ### **Resolution Details:**