Veri kalitesi uyarısıAnlamlı fiyatlandırma yok
7 Ağu 2026 15:50 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
JD Vance 47.3%31 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
30 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Likidite
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Likidite bilinmiyorTraders
3,258
Piyasa verileri
1 dakika önce guncellendi
24 Şub 26 12:357 Kas 28 13:00
Trendler
Kurallar
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - If, by January 20, 2029, the three resolution sources have **not** unanimously called the same winner, the market will resolve based on who is inaugurated as President of the United States. - If any of the three sources retracts, reverses, or updates its projection before unanimity is reached, the market will wait for the next moment when all three agree. - Provisional or partial calls by only one or two outlets will not trigger resolution.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
CoinRithm referansı JD Vance 23% · 7 platform · 5 puan venue farki
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) · J.D. Vance 19%
- Robinhood (Rothera) üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 22%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 23%
- Smarkets üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Futuur üzerinde de mevcut — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028 · Gavin Newsom 28%
- PredictIt üzerinde de mevcut — Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? · JD Vance 22%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? · J.D. Vance 19%
Açık piyasalar
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺114,8 Mn
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺784,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺525,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺53,2 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺26,3 Mn
- Next French Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Sık sorulan sorular
- US Presidential Election Winner 2028 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Myriad, 25 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla JD Vance için 47% fiyatlıyor.
- US Presidential Election Winner 2028 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- US Presidential Election Winner 2028 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 7 Kasım 2028.
- US Presidential Election Winner 2028 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Myriad bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: ### **Market Dates:**
- US Presidential Election Winner 2028 başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Smarkets, Limitless, Futuur, PredictIt, Kalshi.