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10 Eki 2026 07:01 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
JD Vance 41.2%-0.1pt31 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
22 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Likidite bilinmiyorİşlemciler
3,596
Piyasa verileri
2 dakika önce güncellendi
24 Şub 26 12:35 UTC7 Kas 28 13:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessKurallar
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - If, by January 20, 2029, the three resolution sources have **not** unanimously called the same winner, the market will resolve based on who is inaugurated as President of the United States. - If any of the three sources retracts, reverses, or updates its projection before unanimity is reached, the market will wait for the next moment when all three agree. - Provisional or partial calls by only one or two outlets will not trigger resolution.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 81%
- Robinhood (Rothera) üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 27%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- Smarkets üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- Futuur üzerinde de mevcut — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
