FutuurKullanılabilirliği kontrol etDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiGüncel ima edilen olasılıkJD Vance 28%5 seçenek arasında lider
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Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This set of markets predicts the winner of the November 7, 2028, U.S. presidential general election.
- Each market below corresponds to one candidate, of which exactly one will resolve "Yes".
- Resolution is intended to occur within days of election day, not to wait for Electoral College certification.
- The Primary Designated Source is the Associated Press presidential race call.
- Resolution is triggered as soon as the AP has called the race and at least two of the following also call the same winner: Reuters, Fox News, The New York Times.
- In the case of a major discrepancy between these sources that persists beyond seven days after election day, resolution will instead be based on the aggregate of official state-certified results from each state's Secretary of State office, determining which candidate holds a majority of Electoral College votes.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
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- PredictIt üzerinde de mevcut — Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
